Release: Clinton and Rice
lead in first Magic Hour Communications Presidential
Search Engine Poll
November 2, 2005
For Immediate Release
All references must source at
least once:
Magic Hour Communications Presidential Search
Engine Poll
For more information contact:
Louis Gudema
Magic Hour Communications
781-647-1600, x234
louis@magic-hour.com
Senator Hillary Clinton holds a strong lead for
the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination in
the first Magic Hour Communications Presidential
Search Engine Poll. Secretary of State Condoleezza
Rice has an even more commanding lead over potential
Republican candidates, although she trails Senator
Clinton in the overall tally.
The Presidential Search Engine Poll was created
by Magic Hour Communications, a marketing communications
company located in Watertown, Massachusetts. Magic
Hour analyzed data on tens of millions of Internet
searches to see which candidates were being searched
for the most. “We looked at September, 2005,
data for searches for the 15 leading Democratic
or Republican candidates,” said Magic Hour
president Louis Gudema. “We considered only
the neutral or positive searches, taking into
account likely misspellings. What’s especially
interesting is that these results map very well,
especially on the Democratic side, to the October
21, 2005, WNBC/Marist Poll.”
Democratic Presidential Candidates:
| |
Magic Hour |
WNBC/Marist |
| Hillary Clinton |
44% |
41% |
| John Kerry |
25% |
17% |
| John Edwards |
16% |
14% |
| Joe Biden |
7% |
5% |
| Wesley Clark |
5% |
3% |
| Evan Bayh |
3% |
2% |
Republican Presidential Candidates:
| |
Magic Hour |
WNBC/Marist |
| Condoleezza Rice |
46% |
21% |
| Jeb Bush |
13% |
5% |
| John McCain |
12% |
19% |
| Bill Frist |
10% |
2% |
| Rudy Giuliani |
10% |
21% |
| Newt Gingrich |
5% |
5% |
| George Allen |
3% |
4% |
| George Pataki |
3% |
2% |
| Sam Brownback |
2% |
2% |
“This is a combination
of politics and search engine marketing,”
said Mr. Gudema. “In keeping with the conventional
wisdom -- which says that while Republicans rule
the airways with the likes of Rush Limbaugh and
Bill O’Reilly, Democrats are stronger on
the Internet – the overall level of interest
in the Democratic candidates was 16 percent higher
than for the Republicans.” Interest inSenator
Clinton ran about 10 percentage points higher
than for Secretary of State Rice.
As any search engine marketer
must, Magic Hour looked at dozens of terms including
alternate spellings, such as “Rudy”,
“Rudolph” and “Rudi” for
Mr. Giuliani and “Joe” and “Joseph”
for Mr. Biden. It also considered misspellings,
such as “Condoleeza Rice”, “Govenor
Jeb Bush” and “Bill First”.
The most popular phrases had tens of thousands
of searches in the sample of Internet searches
Magic Hour reviewed. Magic Hour only considered
candidates who had over one percent in the original
WNBC/Marist poll
In tabulating the candidate
rankings, Magic Hour included only the neutral
or positive search phrases, leaving out searches
on such phrases as “Condoleezza Rice shoes”
and “Wesley Clark metrosexual”. It
did not include searches on just the last names.
“While a person searching for an uncommon
name such as ‘Bayh’, ‘Pataki’
or ‘Gingrich’ was probably looking
for Evan Bayh, George Pataki or Newt Gingrich,
that certainly wasn’t going to be the case
for general terms such as ‘rice’ or
‘bush’, or such common names as ‘Allen’”,
said Mr. Gudema. “So, to be fair, we left
all of those single-word name searches out of
the tabulations.”
Some searchers were obviously
interested in the person in their role as a potential
candidate, as proven by including terms such as
“president” or “2008”
in the search phrase. However, Secretary Rice
had an especially low number of those candidacy-related
searches given the overall interest in her. Magic
Hour did note that some candidates had many negatives
to counter-balance the positive searches. For
example, hundreds of searches were performed for
“frist stock”, “bill frist insider
trading” and “bill frist investigation”,
“john edwards dumb as a rock”, and
‘hillary clinton black panther”.
“Of course, it’s
an utterly unscientific poll,” said Mr.
Gudema. “It only includes people using and
searching on the Internet. You might call it a
representative sample of an unrepresentative sample.
And Paris Hilton had far more searches on her
name than all of the candidates combined. But
a Hillary Clinton versus Condoleezza Rice race
would be fascinating.”
Magic Hour Communications, Inc.,
is a marketing communications agency that helps
corporations, non-profits, schools and colleges
sell, market and educate more effectively by producing
Web sites, interactive multimedia, videos, logos,
identity and print. For more information go to
http://www.magic-hour.com
“Presidential Search
Engine Poll” is a trademark of Magic Hour
Communications, Inc.
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